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Getty Images / Michael BucknerWarren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway established stakes in a trio of homebuilders last quarter: Lennar, NVR, and DR Horton. The positions were worth a combined $814 million — a small bet in the context of Berkshire's roughly $350 billion stock portfolio. Buffett's portfolio managers, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, were likely behind the purchases given their size. On the other hand, it exited its wagers on McKesson, Marsh & McLennan, and Vitesse Energy in the period. Buffett and his team also pared their positions in Activision Blizzard, Chevron, Celanese, General Motors, and Globe Life.
Persons: Warren Buffett Warren Buffett, Michael Buckner Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, DR, Todd Combs, Ted Weschler, Buffett Organizations: Getty, Capital, Occidental Petroleum, McLennan, Vitesse Energy, Activision Blizzard, Chevron, General Motors, Globe Locations: Capital One, Marsh, Celanese
Why stock investors are suddenly so scared
  + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
That means that if China’s economy slows down, global economic growth slows down. “When global economic growth slows down, that tends to be negative US equities. But a string of strong economic data has challenged those notions. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to stoke fears of rising commodity prices, global economic instability and uncertainty around security. It’s been chock full of economic data and big corporate reports.
Persons: That’s, Lehman, , Alex Etra, Bond, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, hasn’t, Banks, Michael Burry, Fitch, It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Dow, CNN, country’s National Bureau of Statistics, Apple, Intel, Starbucks, Nike, Federal, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, JPMorgan, CNBC, First Republic Bank, Huntington Bank, PacWest, Western Alliance, Bank Locations: New York, China, Ukraine, Beijing, stoke, Huntington
Why it matters: “For most of the last two decades, China’s economic growth has been a major driver of the global economy,” said Alex Etra, a strategist at data analytics firm Exante. That means that if China’s economy slows down, global economic growth slows down. ExxonMobil (XOM) may not be doing too much business with China, said Etra, but if Chinese growth slows, that means oil prices go down. Earlier this year, Bank of America compiled a list of the S&P 500 companies with the highest exposure to China. The grand total of all the private wealth in the world fell 2.4% to $454.4 trillion last year, according to the annual Credit Suisse and UBS global wealth report.
Persons: Joe Biden, BlackRock, , Alex Etra, Michael Burry’s, Allison Morrow, That’s, Jason Hart, Winn, ” Hart, , Ramishah Maruf Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, country’s National Bureau of Statistics, ExxonMobil, Apple, Intel, Starbucks, Nike, Bank of America, Las, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, MGM Resorts, MGM, Funds, PitchBook, Michael Burry’s Scion Asset Management, Moore Capital Management, D1 Capital, Tiger Global, Securities, Exchange, Credit Suisse, UBS, Millionaires, Aldi, Dixie, Winn, CNN Locations: New York, Beijing, China, Ukraine, United States, Aldi, Winn
Michael Burry's bet against the S&P 500 could prove to be painful, Kevin O'Leary warned. Burry made around $100 million betting on the 2008 crisis, but that was a different game, O'Leary says. The S&P 500 has 500 mega-cap companies in it in 11 sectors of the economy, real estate only being one of them. The same goes for Burry's bet against the Nasdaq 100, which is largely concentrated in tech, but has leading stocks in different areas of the sector. At the crux of the market's turmoil, the S&P 500 could plummet 57% to 1,900 and the Nasdaq could plunge 56% to 6,000, Burry predicted last year.
Persons: Michael Burry's, Kevin O'Leary, Burry, O'Leary, " O'Leary, , Burry aren't Organizations: Service, Fox News, Nasdaq, Scion Asset Management Locations: Wall, Silicon
Michael Burry, the “Big Short” investor who became famous for correctly predicting the epic collapse of the housing market in 2008, also made a gigantic bet last quarter on a Wall Street crash. Bank of America released its August global fund manager survey on Tuesday and found that money managers are feeling the least pessimistic about markets since February 2022. So what do Buffett and Burry know that the rest of us don’t? Russia and Ukraine: Global inflation is finally coming down, but heightened geopolitical tensions threaten to raise food and oil prices across the globe. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to stoke fears of increased commodity prices, global economic instability and uncertainty around security.
Persons: Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, That’s, Michael Burry, Buffett, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, hasn’t, Fitch, , Gregory Daco, Catherine Thorbecke, Catherine Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Securities, Exchange, Scion Asset Management, Bank of America, Traders, National Bureau of Statistics, JPMorgan, CNBC, Bank, First Republic Bank, Huntington Bank, PacWest, Western Alliance, Commerce Department Locations: New York, China, Ukraine, Russia, stoke, Huntington, Lahaina , Hawaii, Lahaina, Las Vegas, Maui
Warren Buffett and Michael Burry are waiting for stocks to crash, Robert Kiyosaki says. The "Rich Dad Poor Dad" author pointed to Buffett stockpiling cash and Burry shorting the market. "I just watch these guys waiting for the market to crash then go back in," the "Rich Dad Poor Dad" author continued. As for Burry, he's warned of a historic bubble and predicted the "mother of all crashes." Like Buffett, he's a value investor who specializes in spotting underpriced businesses, and seeks to capitalize on sell-offs.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Michael Burry, Robert Kiyosaki, Dad, Burry, Buffett, Kiyosaki, Berkshire Hathaway, bearish, Buffett hasn't, Goldman Sachs, he's, it's Organizations: Buffett, Service, Berkshire, Scion, Management, Nasdaq, Electric Locations: Wall, Silicon, Coast
New York CNN —Michael Burry, the “Big Short” investor who became famous for correctly predicting the epic collapse of the housing market in 2008, has bet more than $1.6 billion on a Wall Street crash. Burry is making his bearish bets against the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, according to Security Exchange Commission filings released Monday. Burry is using more than 90% of his portfolio to bet on a market downturn, according to the filings. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have both notched big gains so far this year. While one big payoff doesn’t guarantee future returns, Burry does have a strong investment record.
Persons: New York CNN — Michael Burry, Burry, bearish, , , Michael Lewis, Christian Bale, JPMorgan Chase, Michael Burry’s, Scion’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Security Exchange, Scion Asset Management, First Republic Bank, Huntington Bank, Western Alliance, JPMorgan, JD.com, Scion, Expedia, MGM Resorts, MGM, CVS, CNN, Warner Bros ., Traders Locations: New York, China, Huntington
A person waits on the Wall Street subway platform in the Financial District of Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 20, 2021. The warning followed rival Moody's downgrading 10 mid-sized lenders earlier this month, citing funding risks and weaker profitability. Among the mid-sized lenders, Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N) and PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) fell 8.4% and 1.6%, respectively. The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) was down 2.1%, hitting its lowest in a month. Separately, Discover Financial Services (DFS.N) shares fell 8.3% to $94.10, a day after its CEO stepped down.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Banks, Wells, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, MS.N, Michael Burry's, Niket, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Financial, of, REUTERS, CNBC, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Western Alliance Bancorp, PacWest Bancorp, Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management, Comerica, Discover Financial Services, Thomson Locations: of Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
US hedge funds stampede out of China in Q2
  + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Carolina Mandl | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The hedge fund slashed its position in Alibaba by roughly 90% from March to June, filings showed. D1 Capital Partners also dumped all its 1.7 million shares - or $176.8 million - in Alibaba, according to documents. Louis Bacon's Moore Capital Management sold over $200 million in shares of Alibaba, exiting its position in the company. Amid those uncertainties, China-focused mutual funds also suffered a net outflow of $674 million in the second quarter. At the end of July, hedge funds' exposure to China was well below five-year averages, Goldman Sachs showed.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Philippe Laffont, Li Auto, Louis Bacon's, Michael Burry's, Joe Biden, Goldman Sachs, Carolina Mandl, Alison Williams, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, YORK, D1 Capital, Tiger Global, HK, Coatue Management, Tiger Management, Baidu, KE Holdings, PDD Holdings, D1 Capital Partners, Louis Bacon's Moore Capital Management, Alibaba, Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, JD.com, Kanzhun, Alibaba, China
REUTERS/Adrees LatifNEW YORK, Aug 14 (Reuters) - Michael Burry, the money manager made famous in the book and film "The Big Short," held bearish options against the broad S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Index at the end of the second quarter, according to securities fillings released on Monday. Put options convey the right to sell shares at a fixed price in the future and are typically bought to express a bearish or defensive view. Michael Lewis' nonfiction book "The Big Short" was released in 2010 and the movie version came out in 2015. The S&P 500 (.SPX) is up roughly 17% for the year to date while the Nasdaq 100 (.IXIC) is up nearly 39% over the same period. Burry, who frequently turns over his portfolio, drew wide attention last August when he dumped all of his long positions and bought a stake in prison company Geo Group Inc (GEO.N).
Persons: Adrees Latif, Michael Burry, Michael Lewis, David Randall, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, YORK, Scion Asset Management, U.S, Nvidia, HK, Alibaba Group Holdings, Western Alliance Bancorp, First Republic Bank, RealReal Inc, Warner Bros ., Warner Brothers, Scion, Management, Geo Group Inc, Thomson Locations: Square, Midtown New York, New York
Michael Burry, known for calling the subprime mortgage crisis, just unveiled potential massive bets against the stock market, according to a new regulatory filing released Monday. Burry's hedge fund, Scion Asset Management, owned put options against 2,000,000 shares of the SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust , the popular ETF that tracks the S & P 500. These 20,000 options contracts were against shares worth $738.8 million at the end of the second quarter. The S & P 500 is off the last two weeks as investors debate whether the U.S. can skirt a recession and whether the Federal Reserve is done raising rates. Burry was depicted in Michael Lewis' book "The Big Short" and the subsequent Oscar-winning movie of the same name.
Persons: Michael Burry, Burry, QQQ, Michael Lewis Organizations: Scion Asset Management, Trust, Scion, Nasdaq, CNBC, Federal, MGM Resorts, CVS Health Locations: Burry's, U.S
Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn said he's getting concerned about the stock market after a strong rally and has added sizable downside protection to his portfolio. Between January and June, the S & P 500 popped 15.9% for its best first half since 2019. Einhorn, 54, believes inflation remains a big risk even though data has suggested easing price pressures. Recent inflation readings have shown a noted deceleration and the tailwind from higher rents is likely to dissipate, causing core inflation to fall further," Einhorn said. "Even so, we believe inflation is stickier and more entrenched than the market is currently appraising."
Persons: Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, he's, Einhorn, Michael Burry Organizations: CNBC, Green Brick Partners, Nasdaq, Trust, NET
Michael Burry warned surplus inventory leads to price cuts, slimmer profits, and pressure on stocks. The shipping giant's earnings suggest "The Big Short" investor's call was at least partly right. In other words, many of the shipping giant's customers ordered fewer goods last quarter, and focused on offloading their bloated inventories instead. Burry, the investor of "The Big Short" fame, appears to have seen the downturn coming. But the fact that Maersk is seeing its customers cut back on shipping in order to reduce their inventories could signal that consumer spending is now under pressure as Burry predicted.
Persons: Michael Burry, Burry Organizations: Maersk, Service, Scion Asset Management Locations: Wall, Silicon, North America, Europe
David Rosenberg is sticking with his recession call, despite many other experts backing down. In a client memo, he shared some of the extreme pushback he's received for his gloomy forecasts. David Rosenberg, a leading economist who called both the dot-com and housing crashes, remains fully convinced the US economy is headed for a recession. Recession indicators including the inverted yield curve, The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, and the New York Fed's recession model are still flashing red. "The impatience and tempestuousness out there do not surprise me, either, having called the markets and the economy for nearly 40 years," he continued.
Persons: David Rosenberg, he's, Michael Burry, Warren Buffett, Merrill, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Service, Internet, Conference, Biden, North Locations: Wall, Silicon, Houston, York, North American
When inflation was at its peak last summer, Michael Burry predicted it would fall within months. The "Big Short" investor was right, as price growth has slowed from 9.1% last June to 4% in May. In contrast, Burry's warnings of a historic stock-market crash and a recession are yet to pan out. The bold call from the investor of "The Big Short" fame is looking mightily prescient, but a few of his other forecasts are yet to come true. The investor highlighted some of his greatest hits in a now-deleted tweet last summer:"Just getting one thing right is hard.
Persons: Michael Burry, , Burry, disinflation, He's, of Labor Statistics Burry Organizations: Service, Index, Twitter, of Labor Statistics, Scion
Jeff Greene told the story of his lucrative wager against the mid-2000s housing bubble to Insider. John Paulson told Greene about his iconic trade, which "Big Short" investor Michael Burry also made. Jeff Greene, one of the few investors to successfully short the mid-2000s housing bubble, expects the US economy to slump and home prices to drop. Warren Buffett, during Congressional testimony in 2010, underscored how contrarian it was to bet against the housing market at that time. "The Cassandras were there, but who's going to listen to John Paulson in 2005 or 2006, or Michael Burry?"
Persons: Jeff Greene, John Paulson, Greene, Michael Burry, Paulson, Paulson's, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Federal, Forbes, Berkshire Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida
Why ChatGPT could spark a new bull market
  + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Phil Rosen here, still poking around OpenAI's new ChatGPT iPhone app. The rise of ChatGPT and subsequent AI boom could solidify the recent strength in stocks as a new bull market, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. In a recent note, the strategist said equities' strong start to the year isn't just a bear market rally, but that it indeed marks a new bull regime. If the Fed mistakenly pauses and then resumes hiking as inflation persists, the music could stop for high flying AI stocks. Mega-cap tech stocks are "overbought" and their rally could stall out soon.
Phil Rosen here — today I'm excited to share my conversation with a high-profile Tesla shareholder who recently campaigned for a board seat at Elon Musk's company. Twitter CEO Elon Musk appearing at a 2022 Tesla event. Suzanne Cordeiro/AFP via Getty ImagesRoss Gerber is the cofounder and CEO of Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management, and holds 420,000 shares of Tesla stock, or about $74 million based on Tesla's current stock price. RG: You gotta own Tesla in your portfolio with Elon re-focused on Tesla. The strength of the US consumer is at risk as 43 million borrowers are set to resume student loan payments.
A Franklin Templeton fund is outperforming 96% of peers with big bets on artificial intelligence. But the fund is avoiding other tech giants like Apple, Alphabet, Meta and Netflix. According to Bloomberg, Franklin Templeton's $158 million FTGF Martin Currie Global Long-Term Unconstrained Fund has outperformed 96% of peers this year. "But you have to look at it through different segments rather than invest across Big Tech." In fact, the fund is avoiding traditional tech heavyweights such as Apple, Alphabet, Meta, and Netflix.
Michael Burry invested a lot of money into the stock market last quarter, according to 13F filings. The "Big Short" investor who has held a bearish tilt towards stocks initiated 17 new positions last quarter. These are the top 10 stocks held by Burry's Scion Asset Management as of March 31. Burry posted on Twitter on multiple occasions over the last few months that he had a bearish view on stocks. These are the top 10 stocks held by Burry's Scion Asset Management as of March 31.
"Big Short" investor Michael Burry has been accumulating Alibaba and JD.com shares. Scion held $10.2 million worth of Alibaba shares and $11 million worth of JD.com shares as of March 31. "Big Short" investor Michael Burry is long on China's Alibaba and JD.com. Scion Asset Management held 100,000 Alibaba shares worth $10.2 million and 250,000 JD.com shares worth nearly $11 million as of March 31. The hedge fund's holdings in both Chinese tech companies increased from December 31, when it held 50,000 Alibaba shares and 75,000 JD.com shares, according to the regulatory filing.
Einhorn's Greenlight Capital took small stakes in New York Community Bancorp and First Citizens Bancshares in the first quarter, with each bet worth about $20 million, according to a regulatory filing. New York Community Bancorp's subsidiary, Flagstar, acquired Signature Bank assets after that bank was shuttered , while First Citizens bought a large portion of Silicon Valley Bank assets . New York Community shares are up nearly 20% this year, while First Citizens' stock has jumped more than 68% on the year. 'Big Short' Burry of "Big Short" fame snapped up a slew of regional banks last quarter, including New York Community Bancorp , Capital One Financial , Western Alliance , PacWest Bancorp and Huntington Bancshares during the first quarter. To make matters more confusing, the conglomerate dumped its remaining stakes in Bank of New York Mellon and U.S. Bancorp .
Western Alliance Bancorp — Western Alliance shares jumped 3.6% after Bank of America reinstated coverage on the stock with a buy rating. Home Depot , Lowe's — Shares of home improvement retailers Home Depot and Lowe's lost 1.4% and 1% in midday trading Tuesday. On Monday, Daniel Welch, a director at Seagen, disclosed the sale of 1,864 shares, a stake worth more than $370,000. GE HealthCare — The medtech company's shares gained nearly 3% after Oppenheimer initiated coverage with an outperform rating on Monday. GE HealthCare separated from parent company General Electric earlier in 2023 and began publicly trading on the Nasdaq Jan. 4.
The S&P Regional Banking Index fell approximately 25% during the quarter as a run on deposits sank Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March, both of which were at the time the largest banking failures since the Great Financial Crisis. The S&P Regional Banking index is now down 36% for the year to date. Famed "Big Short" investor Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management, meanwhile, added a number of new positions in regional banks, including stakes in First Republic, PacWest (PACW.O) and Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N). Shares of regional banks have remained volatile in recent weeks, with some investors wary of more tumult to come in the sector. London-based Marshall Wace sold 51,300 shares of First Republic in the first quarter, closing its position in the bank.
[1/2] A branch of First Republic Bank is seen. First Republic collapsed May 1, making it the largest bank failure since the 2008 financial crisis. The filings did not show whether Scion had sold its positions before then. The positions were revealed in quarterly securities fillings known as 13-fs. Burry was featured in the 2010 nonfiction book "The Big Short" by Michael Lewis which was made into a popular movie five years later.
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